Week 16, The Home Stretch
A good Week 15 (+3.5 Units) brings us back over +10 units on the season. With two weeks to go, it appears we will go over 60% on ATS, but unfortunately we are low 50s for Totals. Regardless, PLUS MONEY ON THE YEAR is a great thing and if only ATS or Totals could exceed expectations, I'm glad it is ATS!
Let's catch up on the season so far, here's the week-to-week and rolling results:
Motivation is questioned and injuries mount up in the final weeks. Since you have to work to play defense, the unders are where I'm worried most considering situations.
1. Oak +7 (Oak @ LAC -7) - Top ATS Pick of the Week
2. Hou -3 (Hou @ Tam +3) - Saturday*
3. NO -2.5 (NO @ Ten +2.5)
4. Jac +7 (Jac @ Atl -7)
5. Cin -1 (Cin @ Mia +1)
Jac's entire staff will likely be fired, but thankfully the mustache won't let them quit! (hopefully...) and Cin as a road favorite... never thought I'd see the day the model picked that. However, Dalton is throwing it well, so maybe...just maybe.... (you have to enjoy it as the year winds down).
1. Hou @ Tam - Under 50.5 - Top Total Pick of the Week - Saturday*
Awesome... Tampa under again...
2. NYG @ Was - Under 41
3. Dal @ PHI - Over 45.5
4. NO @ Ten - Under 49.5
Remember we went to a two model approach on Totals, both shown below.
Happy Week 16.