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  • Tony Bonk

Some for 5 - Week 14, 2018

After a hiatus from recent travel, we are back and changing the format a bit. The previous 5 for 5 columns were time consuming to write and, most of all, not yielding results (26-37-2... ugh). I do like the 5 for 5 process but believe I was more finding information to backup my pick as opposed to letting the data guide who I picked.


With all that said, here a some reasons for my five picks using the same Westgate Super Contest lines that we always use:


Summary

1 - Ten -4.5

2 - GB - 5.5

3 - Tam +8

4 - Det -2.5

5 - Chi +3


1 - Ten -4.5

I'm sneaking this one in after making the pick Thursday just before gamete, and thankfully it worked out.


The Jags are a mess and Ten seems well coached. I didn't think Jac could put up more than 10-14 points (bye bye Blake, welcome Kessler!) and figured with Jac D on short week and playing terrible this year, Ten would get to at least 20.


2 - GB -5.5

This picks is not as much about GB firing McCarthy, although that does help a bit, it is more about Atl on the road, cold weather, etc. type pick.


3 - Tam +8

Tam somehow weirdly stays with NO, especially in Tam. They have split their matches with them the past couple years. I do think Tam is bad, and with all the revenge talk from Tam winning in week 1 plus NO's bad last week @ Dal, it is easy to see NO winning by 30, but hang on. We are riding underdog!


4 - Det -2.5

A dumpster type game with 4-8 @ 3-9. I think Ari is terrible, and even though the Lions are not great, they did not give up last week in the Rams game. I think they will play all four quarters and will take Stafford over Rosen, who is dead last in Yards per Attempt.


5 - Chi +3

Chi primetime night game and getting points! I'm in. The Rams are good but have appeared mortal lately. I think Trubisky is better version of Bortles with a upgraded coach, but not going to kill you with his arm. This bet is on the Chi D as opposed to LAR D, I think Chi will be able to limit LAR's offense enough to be able to keep up.


And I think a nice cold game with a crazy crowd is perfect for the better defense! Good luck to Geoff.


 

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